Does Britain Really Have a Shortage of Housing?

Interesting reading this afternoon.

Albert Edwards writing in Societe Generale’s weekly Global Strategy note to clients has blamed the Bank of England for causing the housing crisis, arguing that Britain doesn’t actually have a shortage of housing, just a big imbalance in supply and demand.
The report highlights the Bank of England’s reliance on quantative easing going as far as saying Carney is a “bubble-blower extraordinaire.”

Here is an extract from notes sent to clients:

One example where I find market participants have totally swallowed the policy-maker’s mantra is that the solution to the UK housing shortage is to build more houses. This propaganda has been repeated so much that it is has become the 100% accepted truth. Indeed, it would have escaped nobody’s attention that UK house prices have been booming and are at nose-bleed levels of expense on simple price/earnings measures.

Edwards continues:
I’m sorry, but if monetary policy is too loose, you can concrete over the entire length and breadth of the UK and house prices would still rise. There is no shortage of housing. What there is, is an imbalance between demand and supply and demand is excessive because of crazily loose monetary policy. It’s as simple as that. And, as the most prescient guys at Fathom Consulting have pointed out, if there really is a shortage of houses, surely rents, like house prices, would be rising too, way in excess of other prices in the UK economy?
Politicians have cottoned onto the fact that rising house prices equals more votes and so it seems the UK’s political elite will do anything in their power to keep house price inflation. In fact UK house prices have risen 7% per annum since 1980 creating a huge bubble that is only sustainable with ever-increasing government support.

Government support that has bid prices up in relation to income, the very same support that is supposedly to help  first time buyers such as “Funding for Lending” and “Help to Buy” is just deliberate stimulus to keep house prices rising!
So if government continues with its Quantative Easing and it’s smoke and mirrors support for first time buyers which has resulted in fewer first time buyers and house prices five times average earnings they can build all the houses they want.

With loose monetary policy in place they can never meet demand as every man and is dog is happy to take a punt on the one way bet that is British bricks and mortar.

Cardiff Housemates Wanted

SAMSUNG CAMERA PICTURES

Cardiff Housemates wanted for this large professional house share located on the doorstep of University Hospital Wales and Department of Work and Pensions.

Property also has off street parking for up to 3 cars and is a great location for easy access to A48, A470 and M4 as well as walking distance to Cardiff City Centre, Cardiff University and Cardiff metropolitan University.

*****ALL BILLS INCLUDED IN RENT*****

SAMSUNG CAMERA PICTURES

The property has 5 rooms available including 1 ensuite room to rent in Cardiff (own WC & Shower) plus 2 additional shower rooms, so no queuing for the shower in the mornings!

Property also has off street parking for up to 3 cars and is a great location for easy access to A48, A470 and M4 as well as walking distance to Cardiff City Centre, Cardiff University and Cardiff metropolitan University.

Kitchen is equipped with a washer/dryer, 2 fridge freezers, cooker and hob.

Property is fitted with LD1 smoke and fire alarm and locks on individual rooms.

Property Reference: NRCF133BP

  • Available:                                      NOW
  • Bond Required:                           Bond Certificate Accepted
  • Google Maps:                              North Road House Share
  • Number Rooms:                         6
  • Rooms Available:                       1
  • Room Type:                                 Double Rooms
  • Shower/Bathrooms:                  2
  • WCs:                                             2
  • Parking:                                       Yes (3 Cars)
  • Garden:                                        Yes
  • Rent:                                            Covered by 1 bed Local Housing Allowance
  • Bills Included:                           All Bills
  •  
  • Double Room 4                                360 Degree Tour Room 4
  • Rent:
  • Bond:                                                 £0.00

To arrange a viewing please complete the contact form below.

***Fees Apply to carry out necessary checks to meet existing government legislation for “Right to Rent” and ensure every tenant meets the criteria required to fulfil their obligations for the duration of the tenancy .

A non-refundable fee of £150 will be required to secure a room and conduct referencing, complete housing forms, create tenancy and complete necessary tenancy check-in documentation.***